The match in one line

A single-leg World Cup Round of 32: Germany, group winners with a high-class squad, against a battling Paraguay that came through third and will come to defend tooth and nail.

Germany vs Paraguay prediction

Our Germany vs Paraguay prediction favors Germany with a 2-0 and high confidence. Germany lead on talent, possession and squad depth; Paraguay will compete with organization, intensity and set pieces, looking to drag the tie to extra time and penalties. In the full report we compare the 14 most popular betting markets —who pays most on each— with exact probabilities and the reasoning behind every pick. This is informational analysis, not a guarantee.

Why Paraguay can compete

It won’t be a stroll: Paraguay are a battling, organized side and very hard to beat when they sit back. With Alderete and Gustavo Gómez marshalling the defense, Cubas snapping in midfield and the pace of Sosa and Almirón on the break, they can hold the 0-0 and live off set pieces. In a knockout, if Germany grow impatient or lose their finishing touch, Paraguay have enough to take it to extra time —and from penalties anything can happen.

Possible lineups

We project Germany in a 4-2-3-1 with Musiala and Wirtz between the lines and Havertz up top, and Paraguay in a compact, deep 4-4-2 to defend as a block. We’ll confirm the XIs on matchday as soon as the federations release them.