Everything points to a Brazil-controlled match. The market consensus puts Brazil at 86% to win, and the simulation supports that with 3.14 expected goals versus just 0.61 for Haiti. It is no surprise, then, that the most likely scorelines are 3-0, 2-0, and 4-0: the base case is a dominant Brazil performance, with enough attacking volume to clear the 2.5-goal line on their own.

The more delicate part of the analysis is whether Haiti contribute to the score. The market leans toward BTTS No (58%) and gives Brazil a 54% to 57% clean-sheet chance. That fits Haiti’s recent trend: they arrive on two straight defeats and failed to score in 3 of their last 10 matches. In a group-stage setting, where squad quality gaps tend to show, the strongest read remains a Brazil win, with preference toward 3+ total goals and 3-0 as the most representative scoreline.